80% of adults in San Francisco are expected to have their first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine by mid-May, Mayor London Breed said Thursday.

Achieving this milestone, however, depends on San Francisco receiving a steady and increasing number of doses when supply is limited across the country.

The city is already well on its way to vaccinating 50% of adults with at least the first dose by this week.

By Wednesday, 46% of residents aged 16 and over, or 350,678, had received their first dose of vaccine. About 82% of residents aged 65 and over have received at least their first dose and 62% are fully vaccinated.

“We expect 80% by mid-May,” said Breed. “So let’s move on.”

Efforts to vaccinate everyone, however, have been hampered by a lack of supplies. And with those eligible for the vaccine expanded to 50 years and older on Thursday, health officials said appointments may be hard to come by.

According to Colfax, the city has the infrastructure to vaccinate at least 20,000 residents every day.

“If we have enough supplies to meet our capacity, over 80% of adults could be vaccinated with first doses by mid-May,” said Colfax.

Starting today, people aged 50 and over can receive the vaccine. In two weeks it will be open to everyone aged 16 and over.

If the offer goes ahead as planned, 80% of adults in San Francisco will get their first shot in mid-May.

– London Breed (@LondonBreed) April 1, 2021

The supply is expected to increase.

According to the state, California expects 2.4 million doses next week, an increase of 300,000 from this week. Later this month, the state expects 3 million doses a week.

As vaccinations rise and the number of cases dropped to an average of 30 per day, San Francisco is opening up more business. But as the activity increased, the cases have increased.

Until herd immunity is achieved through full vaccination of residents, Colfax said, “The virus will always have an opportunity to grow again.”

“We’re still a long way from the woods and the falls in San Francisco have started climbing again,” said Colfax. “Now we’re still at a low level, but just last week we saw our fall rate increase by 20%. This is not unexpected. We know that as cities reopen, including San Francisco, cases gradually increase. “

Colfax and Breed both stressed the importance of residents continuing to follow guidelines to help slow the spread of the virus, including through wearing masks and social distancing.

“I know we don’t want to see a significant fourth increase here,” said Colfax. “We are seeing alarming conditions in other parts of the country.”

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