The state released its updated metrics for the Blueprint for a Safer Economy, and both San Francisco and Los Angeles counties appear ready to move to yellow status by next week along with another county in the Bay Area.

San Francisco has qualified for amber status under two state metrics for about a month. As of this week, the adjusted adjusted rate is 1.8 COVID cases per 100,000 population, with 2 cases being the threshold the state has given over 4 million doses of vaccine. It seems like we’ve been here before – on April 6th we were right on the threshold with 2.0 cases per 100,000 inhabitants – but at that point the “yellow” threshold was 1 case per 100,000 due to the vaccination level. Hospital stays have also reached a plateau and / or increased in recent weeks, which may or may not be cause for concern.

Assuming the test numbers stay the same – and that SF continues to have a 7-day test positivity rate of 0.8% – we should certainly be stepping into the “yellow” tier next week. Marin County, which barely missed yellow status last week, is likely to get it alongside SF next week – and the adjusted case rate per 100,000 in Marin is currently 1.5, with a test positivity rate of 0.5%.

Los Angeles County will also qualify if the situation remains stable, with a 7-day average of 1.9 cases per 100,000 population and a test positive rate of 0.9%. As Deadline notes, LA qualified under two out of three metrics for several weeks.

As SFist previously reported, there won’t be a ton of changes in store openings unless the San Francisco City Department of Health decides to allow bars to open indoors without food. Yellow state guidelines allow most businesses, including bars, to be open indoors with restrictions.

Gyms can have a capacity of up to 50% at the “yellow” level, or up to 75% capacity if everyone is required to provide proof of vaccination, depending on the state. The same goes for cinemas. The live theater will remain closed under the direction of the state, but this is expected to change on June 15, as Governor Newsom announced earlier this month.

As of Tuesday, the CDC announced that it was changing its guidelines on wearing masks outdoors and that vaccinated people should feel free to remove masks in outdoor restaurants and bars – but unvaccinated people need to be even more careful. San Francisco has yet to weigh up what the rules here are regarding masks and walking down the street, for example. At present it is still considered a requirement, and most people do it out of respect.

Also on Tuesday, San Francisco reached nearly 70% of residents over 16 who received at least one vaccine. 532,773 residents have received at least one vaccine, and 346,000 have completed their two vaccinations or received the J&J vaccine in one dose.

Nationwide, the test positivity rate is 1.5%, and the 7-day average of cases is 4.7 per 100,000 population. This is the lowest in the continental US