After weeks on the cusp of the least restrictive phase of COVID-19 restrictions in California, Marin County and San Francisco could hit the state’s yellow reopening stage this week.

And as evidence of how dramatically infection rates have declined in the state, the cases in Los Angeles – which became a national epicenter for the pandemic during a terrible spike last winter – are so low that California’s largest county could even hit that level , which indicates that the coronavirus has minimal spread.

These counties will see if they are making progress on California’s color-coded reopening system around noon Tuesday.

In that case, new and looser restrictions would come into effect later in the week: bars that don’t offer food service would be allowed to accommodate customers indoors, outdoor gatherings of up to 100 people would be allowed, and indoor businesses like gyms and bowling alleys would be under other higher capacities.

Six other counties in the Bay Area – Alameda, Contra Costa, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Clara, and Sonoma – will stay in the orange or moderate category at least until next week. Solano County, the last of the region’s nine counties still in the more restrictive red tier, is also not eligible to move forward this week.

Four counties across the state – San Francisco, Marin, Los Angeles, and the Northern Trinity – had test positivity and new case rates low enough to qualify for the yellow level last week. According to California rules, counties must meet these criteria for two weeks to move forward.

The data gathered by this news organization shows that the 7-day average of new cases in Los Angeles County and San Francisco has declined over the past week. It has increased slightly in Marin County, although it is not clear whether that increase is enough to prevent the county’s advance.

Marin and other counties in the Bay Area flirted with the yellow tier for the last month, but none have made it to the stage, requiring an adjusted case rate of less than 2 cases per 100,000 per day.

Barbara Ferrer, Los Angeles county director of public health, said she was “pretty confident” the county will move to yellow this week, according to the Los Angeles Times.

Barbara Ferrer, LA County’s director of public health, says she is “pretty confident” that LA will qualify for the yellow (!!!!) tomorrow when the latest figures are released by the state. If so, the rule changes will take effect on Thursday in LA!

– Soumya (@skarlamangla) May 3, 2021

Two more counties, Inyo and Yuba, can switch to the orange tier, which is where the vast majority of California’s counties and residents are classified.

Check for updates again.